Russia cannot afford for Iran to be in chaos and has no choice but to protect the country, and Iran needs Russia’s support and cannot ignore Putin.
A number of intelligent analysts predict Iranian retaliation for Washington’s murder of a high Iranian official who was in Iraq on a diplomatic mission. I understand their logic. However, I wonder.
Putin doesn’t want war. Why should he when Washington’s arrogance is destroying the US and the empire. Even Germany has had enough of Washington because of Washington’s interference in German energy policy and sanctions on companies involved with the construction of the Nord 2 gas pipeline.
In France Washington’s puppet, Macron, is showing independence by saying that Russia is part of Europe.
As Putin and China have failed to protect Iran from a US/Israeli attack by forming a defense alliance with Iran, I suspect that Putin will prevent Iran from directly retaliating. As Iran cannot afford to alienate Russia, any retaliation will come from proxies after they make a show of splitting from Iran.
Russia cannot afford for Iran to be in chaos and has no choice but to protect the country. Similarly, Iran is dependent on Russia’s support and cannot ignore Putin. China has energy connections with Iran and would find chaos in Iran disruptive of China’s economy. This means that Iran is not vulnerable like Iraq, Libya, and Syria (prior to the Russian intervention) were. Whether or not there is a formal defense alliance between Russia, Iran, and China, a US/Israeli attack on Iran will one way or the other bring Russia and China into the war. Therefore, Russia and China should formalize the arrangement, because the formality of an alliance would silence the warmonger American Zionist neoconservatives who are advocating for war and also make it clear to Israel that the tiny country would cease to exist. All it would take is one Russian nuke.
As I recently wrote, I suspect that incompetent historians have convinced Putin that alliances are the cause of war, and perhaps they have been in some instances. But weakness, real or perceived, is also a cause of war. The failure of Russia and China to form a defense alliance against Washington/Israeli aggression could turn out to be the cause of the Third World War.
This article was originally published at PaulCraigRoberts.org on January 4, 2020.
Warmonger Zionist neo-conservatives? You seem to have forgotten who’s President. I don’t see America being destroyed. I see the strongest nation, economically & militarily, on the planet. Iranian official on a diplomatic mission? Is this a joke? A Russia-China alliance will more likely provoke WW3 than anything done by Israel & the US. So you’re concerned about protecting Iran? How about being concerned about the chaos in the Middle East created by their proxies and the Iranian people who have been oppressed for decades by their government? Russia, China & Iran the good guys. America & Israel the bad guys. Got it.
The failure of Russia and China to form a defense alliance against Washington/Israeli aggression could turn out to be the cause of the Third World War.
The failure of Russia and China to form a defense alliance against Washington/Israeli aggression could turn out to be the cause of the Third World War.- So under the present circumstances such an alliance between the two is indispensable and will give far reaching consequences.
It would be nice to see a regime change in Iran which follows the will of the people. Iran could become a progressive and positive leader in 10 years given the right leadership, ridding itself of it’s “supreme leader”, adopting a more human rights focussed ideology and getting rid of sharia law. God knows the people are ready for the change. Social change is slow to come but in this case it’s a turn key situation.
It would be even nicer, if once and for all, there is a regime change in America the Nutty, and the Empire collapses, no more endless wars, no more regime change, no more organized crime under direction of the CIA/Mossad, no more imposed neoliberalism and market economy producing poverty and starvation.
But I don’t fool myself: your comment shows why change will be so difficult to happen. The “shining light on the hill”, whatever, those idiocies average Yankees like yourself have come to believe, learn and assimilate, the “chosen people” -not Israel, but America- who has a God given right to change or impose on the rest of the world their “idea” of democracy and good government.
Conveniently, a brutal regime like the Saudi one, or a fascist military dictator like Pinochet, fit just fine with America’s standards of democracy and “good government” …
1 – Nope, he hasn’t forgotten: Donald Trump, paid by Zionist moneymen like Adelson, and related with Zionist fanatics like Kushner.
2 – America the beautiful is indeed, in the process of destruction, in front of your eyes, a sick society like the american one, reflects the decadence of empires, history teach us this. Where you see “the strongest nation and …” all the rest, I see a nation in a perennial state of war, in eternal debt, an alienating the whole world while pretending to import “democracy”, destroying Libya, Syria, Irak, and imposing neoliberalism on third world nations, where many people are getting tired of this imposed mess.
3 – Yes, Mr.Soleimani was an official from an UN recognized government on a diplomatic mission, travelling on commercial airline, murdered cowardly by The Donald and his military-intelligence apparatus acting illegally in the Middle east and elsewhere. You can’t understand this basic fact? Not strange, decades of brainwashing and disinformation fix any inconvenient truth that might appear in front of you inside your bubble.
4 – Both Russia and China are surrounded by US/NATO bases, and still there are more bases to be constructed like that funny “Trump fort” in Poland, from these very same bases the USA and it’s “allies” -more like vassals- have conducted criminal, illegal wars of destruction but somehow, Russia and China will provoke WW3? ARE YOU JOKING???
5 – The chaos in the MIddle East: war on Irak under the fake excuse -WMDs, you know- proxy war against Syria, regime change and more chaos in Libya, color revolutions made in CIA, everything done with the use and abuse of militant radical islamist terrorism, with the training, sponsorship and funding of the USA, Britain, and the sworn enemies of Iran on the zone, the apartheid regime in Israel and the brutal fundamentalist wahhabist regime in Saudi Arabia. Nothing I mentioned -the reasons behind chaos in the Middle East- are creation of Iran, it’s the USA and it’s proxies behind, and sometimes not so behind, like Trump openly protecting these animalistic terrorists in Idlib, or openly admitting in his Twitter account stealing Syria’s oil.
6 – Iran was oppressed by the CIA/MI6 imposed Shah, a Nazi ally and faithful asset of Anglo-american oil interests. A brutal dictator is fine, as long as it serves well the interests of the American Empire, you know. Al-Qaida, created by the CIA. ISIS, created under Clinton State dept., as declassified DIA documents proves, Iran has been behind the destruction of these criminal groups, but somehow, it’s Iran the one behind chaos? Makes sense … not.
7 – Russia and China are not the good guys, they are the adult people in the room trying to find reasonable solutions to problems created by the real bad guys, USA and not only Israel, but any of the so called “allies” -again, more like vassals, lapdogs. Wherever the USA destroys, imposes, dictates, Russia and China try to clean the mess …