There was an instructive moment in the third presidential debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, which focused on U.S. foreign policy, when they got into a spat over the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq.
The spat began when Obama criticized Romney by saying, “[J]ust a few weeks ago, you said you think we should have more troops in Iraq right now…. You said that we should still have troops in Iraq to this day.”
Romney responded, “[W]ith regards to Iraq, you and I agreed, I believe, that there should be a status of forces agreement…”
Obama interrupted, shaking his head and stating, “That’s not true.”
Romney rhetorically asked, “Oh, you didn’t? You didn’t want a status of forces agreement?”
“No,” Obama replied. “What I would not have done is left 10,000 troops in Iraq that would tie us down. That certainly would not help us in the Middle East.”
Romney cut back in, “I’m sorry, there was an effort on the part of the president to have a status of forces agreement, and I concurred in that and said we should have some number of troops that stayed on. That was something I concurred with. That was your posture. That was my posture as well. You thought it should have been 5,000 troops, I thought it should have been more troops. But you know what? The answer we got, no troops through whatsoever.”
Obama shot back, “This was just a few weeks ago that you indicated that we should still have troops in Iraq.”
Romney replied, “I indicated that you failed to put in place a status of forces agreement at the end of the conflict that existed.”
Obama got the last word in, saying, “You’ve got to be clear, both to our allies and our enemies, about where you stand and what you mean. You just gave a speech a few weeks ago in which you said we should still have troops in Iraq. That is not a recipe for making sure that we are taking advantage of the opportunities and meeting the challenges of the Middle East.”
Obama’s denials and comments about being “clear” on “where you stand and what you mean” are remarkable in light of the actual facts in this case. A review of the actual history would seem to be in order.
While Obama is fond of taking credit for ending the war in Iraq, in fact, the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) under which all U.S. combat troops were withdrawn at the end of 2011 was signed on November 17, 2008, under the Bush administration. Obama was critical of the SOFA, his publicly stated position being that the troops should be withdrawn sooner. “In contrast,” the New York Times noted at the time, “President-elect Obama had campaigned under a promise to withdraw all American combat brigades from Iraq by May 2010”.
Obama not only did not keep that promise, but his administration sought since as early as September 2010 to obtain a new agreement with Iraq under which 15,000 to 20,000 combat troops would remain beyond the deadline at the end of 2011; but “Obama insisted that it could only happen if Maliki requested it”, wrote investigative historian and journalist Gareth Porter, since the White House “was worried about losing support from the Democratic Party’s anti-war base as Congressional mid-term elections approached”. The Wall Street Journal similarly pointed out that “Mr. Obama could face a political backlash at home if he doesn’t meet his campaign pledge to bring troops home from Iraq”, and by April 2011, the U.S. had dropped the number of troops it sought to keep in Iraq down to 10,000. The discussions over a new agreement “face political obstacles in both countries,” the Journal also noted, “and have faltered in recent weeks because of Iraqi worries that a continued U.S. military presence could fuel sectarian tension and lead to protests similar to those sweeping other Arab countries”.
Indeed, protests against any renegotiation of the SOFA were growing. At the end of April, in Mosul, “around 5,000 people, including provincial council members and tribal leaders, rallied in the main square against extending the U.S. troops presence beyond the year-end deadline”, Reuters reported. “The Americans”, however, the New York Times reported, “are privately telling their Iraqi counterparts that they want to stay.”
By July, the U.S. was growing impatient, driving Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta to tell Iraqi leaders, “Dammit, make a decision”. In August, an optimistic Panetta said that the Iraqis had agreed to negotiate an extension of the troop presence. “My view is that they finally did say, ‘Yes’”, he told reporters. A media adviser to Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki quickly issued the statement, “We have not yet agreed on the issue of keeping training forces”.
The Iraqis continued to push back, and by September, the Americans had reduced the number of troops that would remain to 3,000 to 4,000, which, although “significantly fewer forces” than previously proposed, the New York Times observed, still “would break a longstanding pledge by President Obama to withdraw all American forces from Iraq by the deadline.”
Although scaling back the number of troops it sought to keep in Iraq, the U.S. continued to insist that any remaining troops should be granted immunity from Iraqi law, a condition Iraqi leaders refused to accept.
On October 15, a New York Times article filed from Baghdad reported that, “An Obama administration proposal to keep a few thousand American troops here after the end of the year to train the Iraqi military is being scaled back, as the administration has concluded that the Iraqi Parliament would not give the troops legal protection” (“protection” being the Times’ euphemism for “legal immunity”). The Associated Press the next day reported that “The U.S. is abandoning plans to keep U.S. troops in Iraq past a year-end withdrawal deadline”, a decision that “ends months of hand-wringing by U.S. officials over whether to stick to a Dec. 31 withdrawal deadline that was set in 2008 or negotiate a new security agreement”.
On October 21, 2011, Obama gave a press briefing in which he stated that, “As a candidate for President, I pledged to bring the war in Iraq to a responsible end…. After taking office, I announced a new strategy that would end our combat mission in Iraq and remove all of our troops by the end of 2011”—a “new strategy” that in fact was a reneging of his promise to remove combat troops by May 2010 and which was in fact just the same old policy that was put into place under the Bush administration. Obama continued, “So today, I can report that, as promised, the rest of our troops in Iraq will come home by the end of the year. After nearly nine years, America’s war in Iraq will be over.”
The New York Times reported, however, that “dismayed” top Pentagon officials saw Obama’s remarks “as the president’s putting the best face on a breakdown in tortured negotiations with the Iraqis”, a failure for “negotiators who labored all year to avoid that outcome”. Obama “was willing to support a continued military presence”, as the Times put it, and “was prepared to leave up to 10,000 soldiers to continue training and equipping the Iraqi security forces”, but later “the Americans settled on the 3,000 to 5,000 number”. The Times account continued:
This month, American officials pressed the Iraqi leadership to meet again at President Talabani’s compound to discuss the issue. This time the Americans asked them to take a stand on the question of immunity for troops, hoping to remove what had always been the most difficult hurdle. But they misread Iraqi politics and the Iraqi public. Still burdened by the traumas of this and previous wars, and having watched the revolutions sweeping their region, the Iraqis were unwilling to accept anything that infringed on their sovereignty.
Acutely aware of that sentiment, the Iraqi leadership quickly said publicly that they would not support legal protections for any American troops. Some American officials have privately said that pushing for that meeting — in essence forcing the Iraqis to take a public stand on such a controversial matter before working out the politics of presenting it to their constituents and to Parliament — was a severe tactical mistake that ended any possibility of keeping American troops here past December.
The National Journal similarly observed:
President Obama’s speech formally declaring that the last 43,000 U.S. troops will leave Iraq by the end of the year was designed to mask an unpleasant truth: The troops aren’t being withdrawn because the U.S. wants them out. They’re leaving because the Iraqi government refused to let them stay.
Obama campaigned on ending the war in Iraq but had instead spent the past few months trying to extend it….
In Washington, many Republican lawmakers had spent recent weeks criticizing Obama for offering too keep a maximum of 3,000 troops in Iraq, far less than the 10,000-15,000 recommended by top American commanders in Iraq. That political point-scoring helped obscure that the choice wasn’t Obama’s to make. It was the Iraqis’, and recent interviews with military officials in the country provided vivid evidence of just how unpopular the U.S. military presence there has become—and just how badly the Iraqi political leadership wanted those troops to go home….
Ironically, a war launched, at least in part, to bring democracy and political freedom to Iraq will now come to an end precisely because of the free expression of those opinions. Iraqis from all backgrounds and beliefs wanted U.S. troops to leave.
So, getting back to the debate, Romney was being honest and Obama was, well, lying. But that’s beside the point. What makes their exchange so enlightening is the fact that you have the two establishment presidential candidates engaging in a debate over the withdrawal from Iraq in which the Democratic incumbent brags how he ended the war after breaking his promise to bring the troops home sooner than would occur under the status of forces agreement signed during the Bush administration and after unsuccessfully trying to renegotiate that agreement in order to keep U.S. forces in the country and the Republican challenger criticizes the president solely on the grounds that he failed in that effort.
That little snapshot from the debate pretty much sums up the nature of the differences between Obama and Romney on matters of foreign policy.
Pardon my dust, but I don’t see how qualifications in foreign policy could be judged solely on a past and closed issue. After all, Obama didn’t start the Iraq war; he closed. And the Iraqis have made it clear: They didn’t want any residue of U.S. forces left behind, period!
The debate reminded me the title of an old movie “The Prince and the Pauper!” Obama was the “Prince” on all issues, and Romney was the “Pauper!” I had predicted Obama’s sweep on a comment at the Gaurdian (U.K.) yesterday, and it was spot on – and then some!
Mitt Romney was nervous at the outset, red faced, and looked terrified, a clear indication that he understood his weakness on foreign policy subjects. And when push came to shove Obama, he mostly deviated from the subject and gravitated around the security of Israel, the only subject on his comfort zone. He succeeded to look kosher, but he flubbed anything else. If the debate was about a seat in the Israeli Knesset, he would have won it. I have no doubt that today most Americans will be scratching their heads to figure out what audience Romney was begging for votes – Jewish or American! Overall, Romney came across as a ready-to-be a mercenary of Israel in a campaign to either civilize the Muslims or bomb them out of the face of the earth. He is still clueless that the Muslim hatred for the U.S. is a by-product of the U.S. support for Israel!
Romney will be remembered as the previous loser presidential candidate in the first Obama election, John McCain, who then sang and danced on his campaign rallies “Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran!” But Romney tried foolishly not to look a warmonger. He vowed to civilize the Muslim societies first, leaving the option to bomb them if they failed to do so.
Romney insisted that America must lead the world, regardless if the world want to be led by the U.S. Recently, 120 countries, the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) met in Tehran Iran, and made it clear that they don’t want to be pulled by the nose by the U.S. But Mitt Romney revealed that he will throw $ 3. 5 trillion into armaments to make the U.S. strong enough to force the world to follow its leadership! And that sounded to me like another Barry Goldwater, the late presidential candidate against Lyndon Johnson, who had vowed to wipe the USSR out of the face of the earth with nukes – clueless to the fact that USSR retaliation would have wiped out the U.S. too. He lost to Johnson with the biggest margin in the American history.
The epilogue: Romney tried to sound like a candidate on a mission to civilize the world in the East – like Alexander the great. But during the debate he tried to gallop himself ahead with a banal bully attitude, and he fell off the horse. In his closing statement he said that he was “optimistic about the future of America” – but not on his own! I believe that Mitt Romney’s campaign for president ended last night – and he knows it! Nikos Retsos, retired professor
If by “he closed”, you mean he ended the war, I recommend you actually read the article.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7DpBwmN66As
Interesting article that nevertheless avoids the central fact – that neither candidate has the power even to cross the road if his masters say No. Romney promising trillions or Obama threatening Iran is childish bragging.
Until some brave writers expose – and publish – the charade of “Presidentiality” and the reality of the seedy back-roomers who manipulate this tawdry game, who with any intelligence would bother with their insights or conclusions? Tricky I admit, since the seedy back-roomers control the media. But do try or go back writing ad copy.
The White House soap opera is poorly scripted, badly acted though well funded. Can’t the producers find a better cast and a more believable story-line? I could.
Listening to that last debate between presidential candidates, I was deeply alienated and found it befuddled and unreal from the outset (to say the least).
Moderator and candidates handled each foreign issue, as if the countries in question would act isolated from each other, as if the U.S. could handle each single country in an isolated, arbitrary manner.
Romney evidently is incapable of a systemic view in foreign policy and see the big picture; a highly dangerous approach in foreign matters.
Why didn’t Obama use the opportunity to point at the obvious interdependencies between the China, Russia, Iran, Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan issues ?
Obama could have kept 100 percent control over the whole discourse simply by constantly forcing Romney to admit to those mutual dependencies, thus reavealing Romney’s totally naive approach.
Very interesting article Mr. Hammond, and rejoinder on how things really went. But I’m afraid JG is right. As in many other instances in international relations, US Presidents are little more than newsreaders of pieces written by someone elese whose names and faces are never shown.